(meteorobs) Re: Perseids 2004 prediction

[Jeremie VAUBAILLON]

Hello you all,

Thanks Huan for your work and the willing to share it with us.

Following Bill Cook's results founding an intersection between the Earth 
  and the 8 revolution trail I did the simulation wihtout similar 
results. Yes there are some meteoroids in the vicinity of the Earth, but 
not close any numerous enough to get a significant enhance of activity.
Exactly as last year, the solution of the comet orbit so far away in 
time explain such a difference.
So once again, to observe on 11th August is a prority, since it can 
provide informations about the orbit of 109P more than 1000 years ago!
But again if nothing is noticed, that does not mean that the solution I 
take into account IS the correct one: it is a necessary but not 
sufficient reason.

In conclusion, we need observation for the whole day of 11th and 12th 
August ;-)

So clear sky everybody!!!

Jeremie

-- 
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* Jeremie VAUBAILLON
* Institut de Mecanique Celeste et de Calcul
* des Ephemerides (www.imcce.fr, ex bdl.fr)
* 77 Avenue Denfert Rochereau
* 75014 PARIS
* FRANCE
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* tel : +33 (0)1 40 51 22 66 (if I do not answer, I am surely
* fax : +33 (0)1 46 33 28 34    doing a post-doc out of Paris)
* URL : http://www.imcce.fr/Equipes/GAP/JV/equipeGAP-JV-GB.html
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