(meteorobs) Perseid outburst prediction this year?

[KCStarguy at aol.com]

The Perseids have been such a dismal failure the past few years (at least 
what I saw)-what makes anyone think the shower this year may be better (orbit 
perturbation or what?)

Dr. Eric Flescher (kcstarguy at aol.com,  dreric1kansas at aol.com), 
Olathe, KS. USA
 7 total solar eclipses and counting: 
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In a message dated 6/6/04 11:05:05 AM, meteorobs-request at meteorobs.org writes:

<< Message: 3
Date: Sun, 06 Jun 2004 09:43:35 -0000
From: "putmi" <michelvandeputte at hotmail.com>
Subject: Re: (meteorobs) Perseid outburst prediction this year?
To: Global Meteor Observing Forum <meteorobs at meteorobs.org>
Message-ID: <c9up08+qp11 at eGroups.com>
Content-Type: text/plain; charset=ISO-8859-1

Hi Geert, meteorobs,

Will depend on the local weather…if it is perfectly clear (I mean 
perfectly ; no moister, hazy or other stuff) during the period 10-15 
august. I may stay in Belgium, some where in the dark Ardennes ? If 
not : I will travel into southern (France) or South-eastern 
directions (Southern Germany). We shall see…
11-12 august will be the most important night in 2004 for the meteor 
observers. I am really looking forward to see a new enhancement of 
its activity. 
We really need some good data. This can contain a great value for 
calculating the next chances of enhanced activity after the future 
perturbations by Jupiter and or Saturn. 
For the moment I am busy with a Dutch guide for the Belgian 
association of Astronomy (VVS) about the summer showers and 
especially about the Perseids and the return of the 1 revolution 
dust trail. 

But first ; let's enjoy the minor eclipse of the Sun…by Venus !! The 
wait is almost over. Weather Forecasts are great ! 

Michel Vandeputte 
VVS Belgium meteor Section 
Dutch meteor society. 
 >>