(meteorobs) Perseid outburst prediction this year?

Paul Jones jonesp0854 at yahoo.com
Mon Jun 7 09:03:07 EDT 2004

Thank you Eric, Wayne, Norman and any others who have urged caution when it comes to  Perseid expectations.  From what I have seen personally and from what others have reported in recent years,  the stream is performing at a mere fraction of what it did back in the seventies and eighties.  You are correct to point out all the many factors that come into play to downgrade observational results.  Beginners get out with little or no experience and disappointment quickly sets in.  Even more experienced observers tend to make the mistake of getting out too early in the night and giving up before the good stuff starts.  In short, don't believe the hype:  make the Perseids prove they can do something.  Be skeptical.  And, please, stay out until dawn, don't quit at 3 a.m. local time and call the shower a bust!  What did you miss after you gave up??  And if they do not produce at least 250 an hour this year, they will be way below what many of us saw routinely from them in the late
 seventies/early eighties.  The Ps have a lot to prove.
Reagards, Paul in N FLA   

KCStarguy at aol.com wrote:
The Perseids have been such a dismal failure the past few years (at least 
what I saw)-what makes anyone think the shower this year may be better (orbit 
perturbation or what?)

Dr. Eric Flescher (kcstarguy at aol.com, dreric1kansas at aol.com), 
Olathe, KS. USA
7 total solar eclipses and counting: 
webmaster Eric's Black Sun Eclipse website - 
>webmaster, Satori Astronomy website 
-editor- Black Sun eclipse newsletter 
(eclipse/astronomy news) to subscribe send email to 
blacksuneclipse-subscribe at yahoogroups.com

In a message dated 6/6/04 11:05:05 AM, meteorobs-request at meteorobs.org writes:

<< Message: 3
Date: Sun, 06 Jun 2004 09:43:35 -0000
From: "putmi" 
Subject: Re: (meteorobs) Perseid outburst prediction this year?
To: Global Meteor Observing Forum 
Content-Type: text/plain; charset=ISO-8859-1

Hi Geert, meteorobs,

Will depend on the local weather…if it is perfectly clear (I mean 
perfectly ; no moister, hazy or other stuff) during the period 10-15 
august. I may stay in Belgium, some where in the dark Ardennes ? If 
not : I will travel into southern (France) or South-eastern 
directions (Southern Germany). We shall see…
11-12 august will be the most important night in 2004 for the meteor 
observers. I am really looking forward to see a new enhancement of 
its activity. 
We really need some good data. This can contain a great value for 
calculating the next chances of enhanced activity after the future 
perturbations by Jupiter and or Saturn. 
For the moment I am busy with a Dutch guide for the Belgian 
association of Astronomy (VVS) about the summer showers and 
especially about the Perseids and the return of the 1 revolution 
dust trail. 

But first ; let's enjoy the minor eclipse of the Sun…by Venus !! The 
wait is almost over. Weather Forecasts are great ! 

Michel Vandeputte 
VVS Belgium meteor Section 
Dutch meteor society. 

Mailing list meteorobs
meteorobs at meteorobs.org
Do you Yahoo!?
Friends.  Fun. Try the all-new Yahoo! Messenger
-------------- next part --------------
An HTML attachment was scrubbed...
URL: http://lists.meteorobs.org/pipermail/meteorobs/attachments/20040607/cfcc9854/attachment.html 

More information about the Meteorobs mailing list