(meteorobs) Re: 2004 June Bootids

Sergey Shanov shanov-2004 at yandex.ru
Mon May 31 02:32:07 EDT 2004


Dear friends,

In this case not in essence to reason, as far as the activity 2004 June
Bootids will be high. It is important to receive concrete outcome of
simulation and observations. I have selected June Bootids not accidentally.
Our outputs grounded on simulation trails 1808-1875, which have come in a
resonance with Jupiter. From more late trails the activity of a stream
should be really zero. I could do similar with Leonids, but it will be more
extensive approach to a problem. In a case Leonids it is necessary to
consider much more trails. With such expressions Joe, we is reducible any
works to zero? If you expect a new indicative meteor shower, live up to
2021. In a southern hemisphere of the Earth such can be from a comet Finlay
(15P). And not reasonablly to do from David Asher of an idol. In Russia did
similar of Lenin. You know, that from this has received. The detailed method
of simulation (Asher) was accessible in Russia with 1972. The professional
astronomer Evdokimov has received for it a scientific degree. Later
Draconids, Leonids, June Bootids, Andromedids featured Reznikov and others.
And only then Asher. Method of simulation in Russia would not know, if not
earlier Russian works, and works of many other countries.
Sergey


> In a message dated 5/30/04 3:18:02 AM Eastern Daylight Time,
> dob14.5 at sympatico.ca writes:
>
> << Thank you Sergey.  It will definitely be worth watching this year to
>  see what happens with 2004 June Bootids. >>
>
> My feelings are nothing will be seen this year.  I would side with David
> Asher who, in the July 2004 issue of S&T (page 79) is quoted as saying:
>
> "To be honest, I think the evidence (to favor another June Bootid
outburst)
> in 2004 is rather weak.  After all, the same argument would have
presumably
> also applied to 1992 and 1986 (when no significant activity was seen).
Overall,
> I can go along with saying that enhanced rates are possible, but only
because
> the word 'possible' allows it for not happening!"
>
> -- joe rao









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