(meteorobs) Re: 2004 June Bootids

[Pierre Martin]

Thank you Joe.  I did read with much interest your article for 2004 
June Bootids in Sky & Tel.

However, it appears that your article was written before the latest 
particle simulations results by Jeremie Vaubaillon and Sergey Shanov.

 From their simulation results, it now appears that July 23 will at 
least present a more elevated *posibility* of some enhanced June 
Bootids (i.e. "the snake can bite the Earth").  From this, am I correct 
to assume that the Earth will be located much closer near the resonant 
cloud than it was for any other year since 1998?

As for 1992 and 1986, could it be possible that any minor June Bootid 
activity went completely unoticed, especially due to the short North 
hemisphere nights?  Or possibly because of a lack of anyone recording 
or plotting activity on these dates?

Thanks and clear skies!

- Pierre







On May 30, 2004, at 8:11 PM, Skywayinc at aol.com wrote:

> In a message dated 5/30/04 3:18:02 AM Eastern Daylight Time,
> dob14.5 at sympatico.ca writes:
>
> << Thank you Sergey.  It will definitely be worth watching this year to
>  see what happens with 2004 June Bootids. >>
>
> My feelings are nothing will be seen this year.  I would side with 
> David
> Asher who, in the July 2004 issue of S&T (page 79) is quoted as saying:
>
> "To be honest, I think the evidence (to favor another June Bootid 
> outburst)
> in 2004 is rather weak.  After all, the same argument would have 
> presumably
> also applied to 1992 and 1986 (when no significant activity was seen). 
>  Overall,
> I can go along with saying that enhanced rates are possible, but only 
> because
> the word 'possible' allows it for not happening!"
>
> -- joe rao