(meteorobs) Re: meteorobs Digest, Vol 7, Issue 3

Jeremie VAUBAILLON vaubaill at imcce.fr
Wed Nov 3 17:24:38 EST 2004


Hello Geert and you all,


> If the prediction for the Nov. 8 encounter is correct, can we expect a 
> fireball show in Europe? (Because of Poynting-Robertson?)
> ...or even an earthgrazing-fireball spectacle, given the low radiant elevation?

I would expect a grazing show rather than a firebal one. Particles are 
not as big as the 1998 case. Old trail does not mean big firebals. In 
1998 David Asher et al. has shown that the 1333 trail was encountered. 
During my PhD I found some other older trails (article still under 
referee...). But the shower was definitely composed of big particles, 
more or less in the vicinity of the nucleus.


> I vote for clear skies next week!
So do I!

According to Murphy's law I am now in California, and will surely miss 
these showers...

Jeremie Vaubaillon

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