(meteorobs) Prediction of Leonids

[Mikiya Sato]

Hello all,

I am Mikiya Sato.
I almost finished calculating the dust trails of Leonids, in this year.
(Trails from 901 to 1965)
So I opened this data in my web page.

http://kaicho.pobox.ne.jp/tenshow/meteor/55p2004/

I think that three peaks from trails may be observed.
But these will be middle-scale appearance, or less one.
The outline is as follows;

Trail Time (UT)     dR(AU)   fM      Expected peak level
1733  Nov.19 21:26  -0.0023  0.10    Middle scale peak
1333  Nov.19  6:39  +0.0018  0.022   Low level peak
1135  Nov.21  8:21  +0.0006  0.0039  Low level peak?

Best wishes,

Mikiya sato
mail at kaicho.net