(meteorobs) Update of the 2004 Leonids: an early encounter

Jeremie VAUBAILLON vaubaill at imcce.fr
Fri Oct 29 21:11:31 EDT 2004


Hello you all,

Here is an update of the predictions of the coming Leonid meteor shower.
We found a 3rd encounter with the trail ejected in 1001, i.e. a very old 
one, which is split into 2 parts. This additonal activity will occur on 
8th Nov., arount 23:30, for ZHR ~ 50.

However, we did not find any particular activity from the 1135 trail, as 
suggested by M. Sato's results: this trail is very perturbed, and only a 
small fraction of it passes close to the Earth.

For more informations, please see:

http://portail.imcce.fr/page.php?nav=en/ephemerides/phenomenes/meteor/leonids/Leonid_forecast_2004.php
http://portail.imcce.fr/en/ephemerides/phenomenes/meteor/leonids/Leonid_forecast_2004.php

Once again, thanks a lot to all observers!

We NEED observations on 8th. Nov., since that will validate or not the 
orbit of the comet 55P/Tempel-Tuttle, for a perihelion passage that 
occured more than 1000 years ago!

Kind regards.

Jeremie Vaubaillon


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