(meteorobs) New possible parent comet
Denis Denissenko
denis at hea.iki.rssi.ru
Tue Sep 7 15:05:38 EDT 2004
Hello all!
tom6740 wrote:
> Interesting news! Thanks to Mikhail's work, and could you tell me
> when will the Earth pass the "point"?
I also noticed the interesting orbit of this comet yesterday and played
around with it a little. It turns out the comet is late by 38 days.
That means, if it has passed the perihelion on July 22nd instead of
August 30th, then we would have had a close approach to 0.026 a.u. on
July 30th-31st.
Indeed, P/2004 R1 (McNaught) is currently listed among Potencially
Hazardous Comets at http://neo.jpl.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/neo_elem?type=NEC at
rank 6 if you sort 'em by MOID (min. orbit intersection distance). But
still it's MOID is 3 times larger than that of 55P/Tempel-Tuttle and 30
times as compared to 109P/Swift-Tuttle. Another point which makes
meteor activity from this comet very unlikely is intrinsic faintness of
2004 R1. If I'm correct, its current brightness suggests an absolute
magnitude of only 18.5. This means there's a very little material left
of this comet after its 1990 approach to Jupiter.
It will be interesting, however, if other - probably larger - remnants
of the original body will be found.
Best regards,
Denis in Moscow
P.S. Can somebody calculate the coordinates of possible radiant related
to this comet and velocity of meteors?
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