(meteorobs) Re: meteorobs Digest, Vol 10, Issue 13

[Mikhail Maslov]

Hello all,
I have to note, that computing Leonids 2034 I didn't find stormy
encounters. Details will be some later in Leonids 2031-2040, but now I
can say that I got 4 major encounters, which give 3 main peaks in
2034. The first one is at 3:44 UT 18.11.2034 from 1932 trail,
ZHRex=300-350, the second is at 22:39 UT with possible submaximum at
21:31 UT 18.11.2034 from 1767 trail, ZHRex=200-250 - it is the
asian peak, but it is the weakest in my calculations. And the
third peak, which is expected to be the combination from 3 trails.
1666 trail gives ZHRex=95 at 5:30 UT 19.11.2034, 1833 trail gives
ZHRex=485 at 5:43 UT 19.11.2034 and 1699 trail gives ZHRex=335 at
6:08 UT 19.11.2034. So total ZHRex is about 800-900 around 6:00 UT
19.11.2034. This peak is an atlantic one and storm possibilities are the
highest here, but nominal calculations doesn't show a storm.

Best regards, Mikhail


JV> Hi guys,

JV> Just a very quick comments: the next Leonid meteor storms (ZHR>1000) are 
JV> expected for 2034 and may be comparable to the double-2001 one (asian one).

JV> Jeremie