(meteorobs) Draconids for October

[Mikhail Maslov]

Hello, all

I can say that these days together with Leonids I'm modelling Draconids
too. Now I'm calculating the dust trails, predictions for different
years will be several months later. By now I've considered trails from 1900 to 1953.
In 2005 all the trails intersect the Earth's orbit in the period of
March-June 2005, so, at least from these trails any activity in 2005
is hardly possible. In 2011 some level encounter could be with 1907
trail, in 2018 there are no encounters with this part of trails.

Best regards, Mikhail Maslov


BM>     Hello to all, I am forwarding the below self-explanatory note from my 
BM> friend Alister Ling. Alister writes for the 'sky this month' centre pages of 
BM> Astronomy magazine and is responsible for the meteors section. He writes 
BM> these 'boxes' about six months in advance, thus the lead-time for the 
BM> Giacobinids question. I seem to recall there was some discussion on this 
BM> awhile back, maybe somebody can point me (and Alister) in the right 
BM> direction. Thanks. regards, Bruce

BM> ----- Original Message ----- 
BM> From: "Alister" <aling at telus.net>
BM> To: "Bruce McCurdy" <bmccurdy at telusplanet.net>
BM> Sent: Thursday, January 20, 2005 1:41 PM
BM> Subject: Draconids for October


>> Hey Bruce,
>>
>> I'm starting to think about the Draconids in October due to 
>> Giacobini-Zinner passing by this summer. The IMO calendar page for 2005 
>> isn't all that hopeful, but doesn't say anything about modelling. I've 
>> looked a bit but can't find any references to recent modelling attempts. 
>> Could you please ask the meteorobs list on my behalf to see if anyone has 
>> read anything recent, or know of links to the modellers' web pages?
>>
>> Thanks,
>> Al.


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