(meteorobs) Meteor shower from Comet P/73 in future?

[Skywayinc at aol.com]

In a message dated 4/7/2006 8:05:24 P.M. Eastern Daylight Time,  
aa063 at chebucto.ns.ca writes:

What are  the chances that as Comet P/73 is fragmenting it may
produce a meteor in  the future like Comet Biela did in the 1800's
after it split in  two.



Hi Michael --
 
Little or nothing is to be expected this year. 
 
When 73P fragmented in 1995, considerable dust was apparently 
expelled  into space. This dust trail eventually will cross paths with Earth 
and in  
fact, calculations suggest that on May 31.205 (UT), in the year 2022, this  
trail will pass just 0.0004 a.u. from Earth and might very well produce a  
significant meteor outburst. 

The full details can be found in WGN  29-1/2, February-April 2001, pp 
15-28. This well-written paper was authored  by Hartwig Luthen, Rainer Arlt, 
and 
Michael Jager. 
 
Also, in S&T's sister publication -- Night Sky, May-June 2006  issue -- I 
will have an article drawing upon the parallels between Biela  and 73P, including 
the meteor shower potential.

-- joe rao