(meteorobs) Comet P/2006 T1 (LEVY)

Roberto G. md6648 at mclink.it
Tue Oct 31 11:18:06 EST 2006


From: <Skywayinc at aol.com>

CUT

> MPEC 2006-U91 which was issued late Monday, provides the latest orbital
> elements for Comet P/2006 T1.  The perihelion distance has increased from 
> 0.98926
> to 0.98973.  Moreover . . . integrating forward in time now indicates that
> rather than the comet arriving at its descending node a few days after 
> Earth
> (which would have meant an exceptionally close approach to Earth near the 
> start of
> 2012), now the comet apparently does not arrive at the nodal crossing 
> point
> until about three weeks after the Earth.  The new perigee distance would 
> be
> about ten-times greater than the previous elements would have suggested.
>
> And intergrating backward (to 2001) show that the minimum distance between
> the orbits of the Earth and comet have widened slightly from ~0.001 to 
> 0.003 AU.
>
> -- joe rao

In the last two circulars the MOID was biggest that in the
other circulars, our possibilities to see a big meteor shower
in 2012 are fading but I think at today it's possible.
I think that we stand by for a month for to have better orbital
data, good orbital data shall come in the next months.
It's very interesting to see that in 2001 the MOID should be
around 0.001 A.U., perharps we shall see in 2006 or in 2012
meteors from this passage!
Best greetings.
Roberto Gorelli




More information about the Meteorobs mailing list