(meteorobs) leonids 2007 predistions
meteoreye at comcast.net
meteoreye at comcast.net
Sat Nov 10 14:19:52 EST 2007
Note the moon will be setting around midnight for the peak, so the hours between midnight and dawn should be moon free.
-------------- Original message --------------
From: "Catlin" <cat at catlin.force9.co.uk>
> Hi Wayne, thanks for re-enforcing my take on this years Leonid display.
>
> In England a cold snap will hopefully aid our observations, although you
> never know as a lot can happen in seven days.
>
> Yes we have been spoilt but that's what keeps us marching on - the hope
> that a 'wow' shower is just around the corner.
>
> I sympathise if your views will be compromised this year, but I will
> keep you and all informed with up to the hour feedback from England next
> weekend. Sorry - no technical detail - just a rough guide.
>
>
>
> N.B We are five hours ahead of USA east coast time zones.
>
> Clear skies
>
> Michael, Leeds England
>
> -----Original Message-----
> From: meteorobs-bounces at meteorobs.org
> [mailto:meteorobs-bounces at meteorobs.org] On Behalf Of
> meteoreye at comcast.net
> Sent: 10 November 2007 16:20
> To: Global Meteor Observing Forum
> Subject: Re: (meteorobs) leonids 2007 predistions
>
> >From this month's NAMN notes:
>
> 4. A Good Year for Watching Leonids, but...
> The moon is our friend this month for watching the Leonids. Whether the
> shower will give us much to see remains to be seen. The nodal crossing,
> which is the theoretical "annual" peak, is at 2:50 UT on November 18th.
> The
> only enhancement I've been able to find so far is that of Mikhail Maslov
> and
> Dr. Peter Jenniskens, who propose a short peak of ZHRs near 60/Hour at
> 23:05
> UT (Nov 18), which will be during daylight in North America. It will be
> visible from Asia, Indonesia and surrounding areas. The nodal crossing
> should give us only normal rates of background Leonids ~ 15 an hour, and
> even that is not visible from North America, since it occurs before the
> radiant has risen. The best locations for that should be in Europe, the
> Middle East, and Northern Africa. After what we've seen over the last
> decade, it will be a bit of a letdown to see Leonid rates fall back to
> their
> normal levels. It's easy to get spoiled. The moon will be setting near
> midnight, leaving the morning hours with dark skies, and highest rate
> should
> occur during the early morning hours of the 18th and 19th. The next
> outburst, from Dr. Jenniskens' book "Meteor Showers and their Parent
> Comets"
> is expected in 2009.
>
> Wayne
>
> -------------- Original message --------------
> From: tell at jas.org.jo
>
> > HI,
> >
> > can any one tell me what are the prediction of this year leonids.
> > the IMO says the ZHR is around 15, another webiste says it is around
> > 60-70 on 20 something of 18/11.
> >
> > thanks
> >
> > Khaled tell
> >
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