(meteorobs) Fw: Draconid Meteor Watch

[Skywayinc at aol.com]

In a message dated 10/8/2007 12:25:29 PM Eastern Daylight Time,  
bmccurdy at telusplanet.net writes:
 
I did play around with the Java applet linked to the spaceweather  
website (click on "far away" to open the applet, and change the rate from 1  
day to 1 year to see the comet's position just on the date of the shower). I  
noted with particular interest the proximity of Giacobini-Zinner in 2018  
when, believe it or not, the Moon will be new on Oct.  9.




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While the 2018 scenario certainly looks at first glance, rather favorable  
for a possible storm (or at least a
significant outburst), independent dust trail computations by folks like  
Jeremie, Esko and 
Mikhail have shown that we pretty much will miss any dense filaments 
that year, suggesting that 2018 will provide little more than perhaps  some
higher-than-normal enhancement.
 
-- joe rao
 
 



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