(meteorobs) Meteor Activity Outlook for July 5-11, 2008

[Robert Lunsford]

After several months of low activity the meteor rates for both hemispheres
see a marked increase in July. In the northern hemisphere the change is not
noticeable until mid-month when several southern radiants, the Perseids, and
sporadic rates all increase in activity. Southern rates are good all month
long.

During this period the moon reaches its first quarter phase on Thursday July
10th. At this time the moon will be located ninety degrees east of the sun
and will set near 0100 local daylight time (LDT). This weekend the thin
waxing crescent moon will set during the evening hours and will not
interfere with observing. As seen from the mid-northern hemisphere (45 N)
the estimated total hourly rates during the evening observers would be near
two. For morning observers the estimated total hourly rates should be near
twelve. For those located in the mid-southern hemisphere (45 S) morning
rates would be near twenty and evening rates near four. These rates assume
that you are watching from rural areas away from all sources of light
pollution. The actual rates will also depend on factors such as personal
light and motion perception, local weather conditions, alertness and
experience in watching meteor activity.

The radiant positions and rates listed below are exact for Saturday
night/Sunday morning July 5/6. These positions do not change greatly day to
day so the listed coordinates may be used during this entire period. Most
star atlases (available at science stores and planetariums) will provide
maps with grid lines of the celestial coordinates so that you may find out
exactly where these positions are located in the sky. A planisphere or
computer planetarium program is also useful in showing the sky at any time
of night on any date of the year. Activity from each radiant is best seen
when it is positioned highest in the sky, either due north or south along
the meridian, depending on your latitude. It must be remembered that meteor
activity is rarely seen at the radiant position. Rather they shoot outwards
from the radiant so it is best to center your field of view so that the
radiant lies at the edge and not the center. Viewing there will allow you to
easily trace the path of each meteor back to the radiant (if it is a shower
member) or in another direction if it is a sporadic. Meteor activity is not
seen from radiants that are located below the horizon. The positions below
are listed in a west to east manner in order of right ascension (celestial
longitude). The positions listed first are located further west therefore
are accessible earlier in the night while those listed further down the list
rise later in the night.

The following showers are expected to be active this week:

The Alpha Capricornids (CAP) are beginning to come alive from a wide radiant
located at 19:04 (286) -16. This position lies in eastern Sagittarius, two
degrees east of the second magnitude star Nunki (Sigma Sagittarii). The
radiant is best placed near 0100 LDT, when it lies on the meridian and is
highest in the sky. Current rates would be less than one per hour, no matter
your location. Don't confuse these meteors with the more numerous antihelion
meteors, which have a radiant just to the east. Both radiants need to be in
your field of view to properly sort these meteors. With an entry velocity of
23 km/sec., most activity from this radiant would be slow. This radiant is
well seen except for far northern latitudes where it remains twilight all
night long and the radiant does not rise as high into their sky.

The large Antihelion (ANT) radiant is now centered at 19:48 (297) -20. This
area of the sky lies in eastern Sagittarius, near the faint star 58
Sagittarii. Actually any meteor from western Capricornus, southern Aquila,
as well as eastern Sagittarius could be a candidate for this shower. This
radiant is best placed near 0200 LDT when it lies on the meridian and is
highest in the sky. Rates at this time should be near two for northern
observers and three for observers south of the equator. With an entry
velocity of 30 km/sec., the average Antihelion meteor would be of
medium-slow speed.

Sirko Molau's study of video radiants has revealed activity during the
period July 8-22, from an area in northwestern Aquarius. The first of two
maximums occurs on July 10 with the radiant located at 21:00 (315) -04. This
position lies five degrees northwest of the third magnitude star Sadalsuud
(Beta Aquarii). This radiant is best placed near 0300 LDT when it lies
highest in the sky. Rates would most likely be less than one shower member
per hour no matter your location. At 40km/sec., the average meteor from this
radiant would be of medium velocity.

Sirko Molau's study of video radiants has revealed another region of
activity in Andromeda that is active from July 2-7. Maximum occurs on July 7
when the radiant is located at 01:40 (025) +47 This position lies near the
fourth magnitude star 51 Andromedae, which is located near the
Perseus/Cassiopeia border. This radiant is best placed during the last hour
of the night when it lies highest in a dark sky. Rates would most likely be
less than one shower member per hour no matter your location. At 56km/sec.,
the average meteor from this radiant would be of swift velocity. These
parameters look suspiciously like those of the early Perseids yet no
association is mentioned.

As seen from the mid-northern hemisphere (45N) the Sporadic rates are
finally beginning to increase. One would expect to see approximately nine
random meteors during the last hour before dawn from rural observing sites
and two per hour during the evening hours. As seen from the mid-southern
hemisphere (45S) morning rates would be near seventeen per hour as seen from
rural observing sites and four per hour during the evening hours.

The table below presents a condensed version of the expected activity this
week. Rates and positions are exact for Saturday night/Sunday morning.

Alpha Capricornids (CAP)  19:04 (286) -16   Velocity - 23km/sec.
Northern Hemisphere - <1   Southern Hemisphere - <1

 Antihelion (ANT) - 19:48 (297) -20   Velocity - 30km/sec.
 Northern Hemisphere - 2   Southern Hemisphere - 3

 Beta Aquariids (BAQ)  21:00 (315) -04   Velocity - 40km/sec.
Northern Hemisphere - <1   Southern Hemisphere - <1

July Andromedids (JAD)  01:40 (025) +47   Velocity -56km/sec.
Northern Hemisphere - <1   Southern Hemisphere - <1

*For a detailed explanation on the different classes of meteor showers and
other astronomical terms, please visit:
http://www.amsmeteors.org/showers.html#X2008

Clear Skies!
Robert Lunsford
American Meteor Society