(meteorobs) Perseids in 2008: great or normal?
Michel Vandeputte
michelvandeputte at hotmail.com
Sun Jun 1 10:10:46 EDT 2008
Hi folks,
As known the evolution of the Perseid meteoroid stream is dominated by the influence of planetary perturbations witch translates in a variable maximum activity. On August 11, 2004 we witnessed the effect from Jupiter on the stream with a small burst of faint meteors. I haven't seen the 1993 outburst because we were clouded out in Belgium (in one single hole I saw precise one bright Perseid ;-) but I have seen a tremendous August 11-12 in 2004 with a single burst of earth grazing Perseids around peak time and a spectacular display of bright meteors and higher numbers in the second part of that night ('the filament'). I counted at best 134 Perseids in one hour! My question now is this: there was a close approach between the shower and Saturn in 2006. We may see some effects on the stream between 2008-2010: possibly richer than the 2004 return. OK: as the predictions of Maslov tells us on his website: 2009 will be the most interesting year (bad moonlight). In my archive (preparing for the 2008 Perseids) a found a formal message on meteorobs (27088) from Esko Lyytinen (27088) and I read about a possible interesting encounter with the 4REV (?) trail. Is this still a valuable fact or is this prediction changed after the 2004-05 events?
Thank you for responding,
Michel.
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