(meteorobs) Perseids in 2008: great or normal?

Mikhail Maslov ast3 at ngs.ru
Wed Jun 4 13:39:47 EDT 2008


Hello, Michel and all,

I'm now working on prediction for the Perseids 2008 (with an overview for
2009). I can say that in 2008 Perseids backgound could be a little
stronger than usual (maybe up to 110-120 meteors on ZHR scale instead
of 100). I also found an encounter with 4 rev. trail, described by Esko
Lyytinen, but can't still give any details on it.

Best regards, Mikhail


MV> Hi folks, 
 

MV> As known the evolution of the Perseid meteoroid stream is dominated by the influence of planetary perturbations witch translates in a variable maximum activity. On August 11, 2004 we witnessed
MV> the  effect from Jupiter on the stream with a small burst of faint meteors. I haven't seen the 1993 outburst because we were clouded out in Belgium (in one single hole I saw precise one bright
MV> Perseid ;-) but  I  have seen a tremendous August 11-12 in 2004 with a single burst of earth grazing Perseids around peak time and a spectacular display of bright meteors and higher numbers in
MV> the second part of that night ('the filament'). I  counted at best 134 Perseids in one hour! My question now is this: there was a close approach between the shower and Saturn in 2006. We may see
MV> some effects on the stream between 2008-2010: possibly richer than the 2004 return. OK: as the predictions of Maslov tells us on his website: 2009 will  be the most interesting year (bad
MV> moonlight). In my archive (pr
MV>  eparing for the 2008 Perseids) a found a  formal message on meteorobs (27088) from Esko Lyytinen (27088) and  I read about  a possible interesting encounter with the 4REV (?) trail. Is this
MV> still a valuable fact or is this prediction changed after the 2004-05 events? 

 

MV> Thank you for responding, 

 

MV> Michel.
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