(meteorobs) Orionid Prospects?

[Pierre Martin]

Hello all,

Please don't forget Mikiya Sato's predictions below, which would be a  
couple nights before the normal peak (on the weekend too! :) ...

- Pierre



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Dear all,

I am Mikiya.
I show my prediction of Orionids 2008.

        Peak (UT)     S.Long.  D-R(AU) Ej.V(m/s) fM
-1265  Oct.19 02:13  205.946  -0.0094  +20.11  0.0062
-1265  Oct.19 06:32  206.125  -0.0081  +19.82  0.0069
-1265  Oct.19 08:08  206.191  -0.0074  +19.70  0.0026

This year, -1265 trail will approach the Earth.
But the distance (D-R) is a little far, about 0.007 - 0.009 AU.
So, I think that the expected peak rate is a little less than
  the late in 2006 and 2007, but it will be uncertain.

And, the peak time is also uncertain because of the same reason
(far distance).
Anyway, predicted peak is a little earlier than the ordinary year.
So, please pay attention to the activity of Orionids from early day;
for example, Oct 18.