(meteorobs) Meteor Activity Outlook for November 21-27, 2009

Robert Lunsford lunro.imo.usa at cox.net
Thu Nov 19 17:30:34 EST 2009


As seen from the northern hemisphere, meteor rates continue to be strong in November. While no major showers are active this month,
the two Taurid radiants plus the Leonids keep the skies active. The addition of strong sporadic rates make November one of the
better months to view meteor activity from north of the equator. Skies are fairly quiet as seen from the southern hemisphere this
month. Activity from the three showers mentioned above may be seen from south of the equator, but the sporadic rates are much lower
than those seen in the northern hemisphere.

During this period the moon reaches its first quarter phase on Tuesday November 24th. On that date the moon lies ninety degrees east
of the sun and will set near midnight local standard time (LST). This weekend the waxing crescent moon will set long before the more
active morning hours arrive, allowing dark skies for those who venture out during the morning hours. As the week progresses the moon
sets later each night narrowing the window of opportunity to view under dark conditions. The estimated total hourly rates for
evening observers this week is near four as seen from the northern hemisphere and three from the southern hemisphere. For morning
observers the estimated total hourly rates should be near twenty from the northern hemisphere and ten as seen from the southern
hemisphere. The actual rates will also depend on factors such as personal light and motion perception, local weather conditions,
alertness and experience in watching meteor activity. Rates are reduced during the evening hours due to moonlight.

The radiant positions and rates listed below are exact for Saturday night/Sunday morning November 21/22. These positions do not
change greatly day to day so the listed coordinates may be used during this entire period. Most star atlases (available at science
stores and planetariums) will provide maps with grid lines of the celestial coordinates so that you may find out exactly where these
positions are located in the sky. A planisphere or computer planetarium program is also useful in showing the sky at any time of
night on any date of the year. Activity from each radiant is best seen when it is positioned highest in the sky, either due north or
south along the meridian, depending on your latitude. It must be remembered that meteor activity is rarely seen at the radiant
position. Rather they shoot outwards from the radiant so it is best to center your field of view so that the radiant lies at the
edge and not the center. Viewing there will allow you to easily trace the path of each meteor back to the radiant (if it is a shower
member) or in another direction if it is a sporadic. Meteor activity is not seen from radiants that are located below the horizon.
The positions below are listed in a west to east manner in order of right ascension (celestial longitude). The positions listed
first are located further west therefore are accessible earlier in the night while those listed further down the list rise later in
the night.

The following showers are expected to be active this week:

Sirko Molau's studies of video radiants has revealed that activity from the famous Andromedid (AND) shower, noted for intense storms
during the 19th century, may still be seen throughout November. The current position of the large radiant is 01:38 (025) +39. This
position lies in eastern Andromeda, two degrees south of the fourth magnitude star Nu Andromedae. The nearest bright star is second
magnitude Almach (Gamma Andromedae), which lies four degrees to the northeast. Visual activity is expected to be low, but
detectable. The Andromedid radiant is best placed near 2200 (10pm) local standard time (LST) when it lies on the meridian and
overhead for observers viewing from mid-northern latitudes . At 19km/sec., the average Andromedid will appear as a very slow moving
meteor. Sirko mentions that these meteors are "conspicuously slow and of almost constant activity" during this period.

The Northern Taurids (NTA) are active from a large radiant centered at 04:29 (067) +24, which lies in northern Taurus, eight degrees
north of the orange first magnitude star Aldebaran (Alpha Tauri). The radiant is best placed near 0100 LST, when it lies highest
above the horizon, but activity may be seen all night long. Meteors from the Northern Taurids strike the atmosphere at 29km/sec.,
which would produce meteors of slow velocity. Expected rates would be near three per hour as seen from the northern hemisphere and
two per hour as seen south of the equator.

The November Orionids (NOO) were recently discovered Sirko Molau by analyzing video data. This shower is active from November 12
through December 6. Maximum activity occurs on November 30. The radiant is currently located at 05:44 (086) +15. This position lies
on the Orion/Taurus border, seven degrees north of the orange first magnitude star Betelgeuse (Alpha Orionis). These meteors are
best seen near 0300 LST when the radiant lies on the meridian and highest above the horizon. At 44 km/sec. the November Orionids
produce mostly medium velocity meteors.

The Alpha Monocerotids (AMO) are active from November 15-25, with maximum occurring on the 21st. This shower has produced outbursts
in the past but none are expected for many years to come. Rates are expected to be less than one shower member per hour, even on the
night of maximum activity. The radiant is currently located at 07:52 (118) +01. This position lies in southeastern Canis Minor, five
degrees southeast of the zero magnitude star Procyon (Alpha Canis Minoris). These meteors are also best seen near 0500 LST when the
radiant lies highest above the horizon in a dark sky. At 65 km/sec. the Alpha Monocerotids produce mostly swift meteors.

The Leonids (LEO) reached maximum activity on the morning of November 17th with ZHR's exceeding 100 as seen over Asia. Current rates
would be near one per hour no matter your location. The radiant is currently located at 10:27 (157) +20. This position lies in
western Leo, just one degree northeast of the famous second magnitude double star Algeiba (Gamma Leonis). At 70km/sec., the average
Leonid is swift with a high percentage of trains. The radiant does not rise until the late evening hours so it is advised to wait
until after midnight before beginning serious observations. The radiant is most favorably located during the last dark hour before
the onset of morning twilight when it lies highest in a dark sky.

As seen from the mid-northern hemisphere (45N) one would expect to see approximately sixteen Sporadic meteors per hour during the
last hour before dawn as seen from rural observing sites. Evening rates would be near three per hour. As seen from the mid-southern
hemisphere (45S), morning rates would be near six per hour as seen from rural observing sites and two per hour during the evening
hours. Locations between these two extremes would see activity between the listed figures. Evening rates are reduced due to
moonlight.

The table below presents a condensed version of the expected activity this week. Rates and positions are exact for Saturday 
night/Sunday morning but may be used all week long.

Andromedids (AND)   - 01:38 (025) +39   Velocity - 19km/sec.
Northern Hemisphere -<1 per hr. Southern Hemisphere - <1 per hr.

Northern Taurids (NTA)   - 04:29 (067) +24    Velocity - 29km/sec.
Northern Hemisphere - 3 per hr. Southern Hemisphere - 2 per hr.

November Orionids (NOO) - 05:44 (086) +15    Velocity - 44km/sec.
Northern Hemisphere - <1 per hr. Southern Hemisphere - <1 per hr.

Alpha Monocerotids (AMO)  - 07:52 (118) +01   Velocity - 65km/sec.
Northern Hemisphere - <1 per hr. Southern Hemisphere - <1 per hr.

Leonids (LEO)  - 10:27 (157) +20    Velocity - 70km/sec.
Northern Hemisphere - 1 per hr. Southern Hemisphere - 1 per hr.

*For a detailed explanation on the different classes of meteor showers and other astronomical terms, please visit:
http://www.amsmeteors.org/showers.html#X2009

Clear Skies!
Robert Lunsford
American Meteor Society
 




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