(meteorobs) chi-Capricornids predictions for 2010, 2011 and 2012

Mikhail Maslov ast3 at ngs.ru
Thu Feb 18 00:36:46 EST 2010


Predictions of chi-Kapricornids activity (parent comet
45P\Honda-Mrkos-Pajdusakova for 2010, 2011 and 2012 are uploaded to
http://feraj.narod.ru/Radiants/Predictions/predicteng.html.

Around 3:30 UT on 14 August 2010 an outburst with ZHRex=20-30 is
possible, high meteor brightness. The best place for observation would
be South America. Reliability of this prediction is much lower than
say for the Perseids or Leonids, as there weren't any apparent 45P-ids
outbursts in the past.

This prediction confirms the results obtained earlier for this case by
Sergey Shanov (Russia) and Mikiya Sato(Japan).

Best regards, Mikhail Maslov




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