(meteorobs) Draconid predictions for 2010, 2011 and 2012

Mikhail Maslov ast3 at ngs.ru
Wed Sep 8 10:11:31 EDT 2010


Draconids predictions for 2010, 2011 and 2012 are uploaded to
http://feraj.narod.ru/Radiants/Predictions/predicteng.html.

Summary:

In 2010 activity is not expected.
In 2011 an outburst with ZHR=40-50 at maximum (20:13 UT 8 October) is
expected, first meteors to appear already at 17-18 UT 8 October.
In 2012 a very weak activity is possible during the period of 15-17 UT
8 October.

Forecasts for 2011 and 2012 essentially confirms results obtained
earlier, though for 2011 case it is less optimistic in ZHR
estimations.

Best regards, Mikhail Maslov




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