(meteorobs) Looking for Draconid pictures

Karl Antier karl.antier at laposte.net
Mon Aug 8 01:55:58 EDT 2011

Hi Dan,

According to Jérémie Vaubaillon, rates could reach several thousands meteors per hour, even if the figure isn't easy to precisely predict. Mikhail maslov alos speaks of a potential 40-50 Draconids per hour.
So according to both of these two authors, a possible outburst is predicted, as even dozens of Draconids per hour is more than usual activity.
For me, an outburst is a short lived higher than usual ZHR maximum for a meteor shower. Isn't it thus what's predicted by Vaubaillon and Maslov, even if it's not reaching storm levels ?

Best regards,

> Message du 08/08/11 02:52
> De : dfischer at astro.uni-bonn.de
> A : "Karl Antier" , "Meteor science and meteor observing" 
> Copie à : 
> Objet : Re: (meteorobs) Looking for Draconid pictures
> > I'm going to write a three page article on the 2011 Draconids outburst
> "The" outburst? So far I'd say it's 50:50 between a modest outburst
> (Vaubaillon) and none whatsoever (Maslov) - see the end of the first
> paragraph of
> http://cosmos4u.blogspot.com/2011/06/there-could-be-bright-comet-in-sky-in.html
> ...
> Dan

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