(meteorobs) Looking for Draconid pictures

Wayne Hally meteoreye at comcast.net
Mon Aug 8 02:11:40 EDT 2011

I don't think Jeremie has said any such thing, though could be wrong. Got any references for that?
It doesn't match what I recall.

-----Original Message-----
From: meteorobs-bounces at meteorobs.org [mailto:meteorobs-bounces at meteorobs.org] On Behalf Of Karl Antier
Sent: Monday, August 08, 2011 1:56 AM
To: meteorobs at meteorobs.org
Subject: Re: (meteorobs) Looking for Draconid pictures

Hi Dan,

According to Jérémie Vaubaillon, rates could reach several thousands meteors per hour, even if the figure isn't easy to precisely predict. Mikhail maslov alos speaks of a potential 40-50 Draconids per hour.
So according to both of these two authors, a possible outburst is predicted, as even dozens of Draconids per hour is more than usual activity.
For me, an outburst is a short lived higher than usual ZHR maximum for a meteor shower. Isn't it thus what's predicted by Vaubaillon and Maslov, even if it's not reaching storm levels ?

Best regards,

> Message du 08/08/11 02:52
> De : dfischer at astro.uni-bonn.de
> A : "Karl Antier" , "Meteor science and meteor observing" 
> Copie à : 
> Objet : Re: (meteorobs) Looking for Draconid pictures
> > I'm going to write a three page article on the 2011 Draconids 
> > outburst
> "The" outburst? So far I'd say it's 50:50 between a modest outburst
> (Vaubaillon) and none whatsoever (Maslov) - see the end of the first 
> paragraph of 
> http://cosmos4u.blogspot.com/2011/06/there-could-be-bright-comet-in-sk
> y-in.html
> ...
> Dan

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