Hello, Below is the link to the Ursids 2011 prediction. The Earth uncounters an old 1117 trail, so around 17:48 UT December 22 the shower can prodice a minor enhancement with ZHR 10-15 plus to the background activity. http://feraj.narod.ru/Radiants/Predictions/8p-ids2011eng.html Best regards, Mikhail Maslov