(meteorobs) "Forecast" of fireballs from NEO visit - huh?

Daniel Fischer dfischer at astro.uni-bonn.de
Sat Oct 15 12:10:55 EDT 2011


"A close approach by NEO Astroid [sic] 2009 TM8 and its accompanying debris will bring us
some large green fireball meteors just prior to and just after the 17OCT2011," proclaims
http://lunarmeteoritehunters.blogspot.com/2011/10/close-neo-approach-to-bring-large-green.html -
is there *any* merit to that? I mean, why would a NEO - that was kicked out of the main
belt a long time ago - still be accompanied by any small debris particles which are affected
by very different radiation pressure, Yarkovsky, Poynting-Robertson and whatnot orbital
effects? Or observation-wise: Has there even been a significant statistical correlation
established between NEO approaches and bolide recordings? Data on both are now being
collected in a quite systematic way, so matching tables shouldn't be too hard ...

Dan


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