(meteorobs) "Forecast" of fireballs from NEO visit - huh?

Wayne Hally meteoreye at comcast.net
Sat Oct 15 13:00:05 EDT 2011


No merit or correlation whatsoever.

-----Original Message-----
From: meteorobs-bounces at meteorobs.org
[mailto:meteorobs-bounces at meteorobs.org] On Behalf Of Daniel Fischer
Sent: Saturday, October 15, 2011 12:11 PM
To: MPML at yahoogroups.com; meteorobs at meteorobs.org
Subject: (meteorobs) "Forecast" of fireballs from NEO visit - huh?

"A close approach by NEO Astroid [sic] 2009 TM8 and its accompanying debris
will bring us some large green fireball meteors just prior to and just after
the 17OCT2011," proclaims
http://lunarmeteoritehunters.blogspot.com/2011/10/close-neo-approach-to-brin
g-large-green.html - is there *any* merit to that? I mean, why would a NEO -
that was kicked out of the main belt a long time ago - still be accompanied
by any small debris particles which are affected by very different radiation
pressure, Yarkovsky, Poynting-Robertson and whatnot orbital effects? Or
observation-wise: Has there even been a significant statistical correlation
established between NEO approaches and bolide recordings? Data on both are
now being collected in a quite systematic way, so matching tables shouldn't
be too hard ...

Dan
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