(meteorobs) Best estimate for UARS initial reentry

[gldsktr at aol.com]

All, I'm in South Florida, and here is the info I have from the site:



Search period start:
00:00 Friday, 23 September, 2011
  

Search period end:
00:00 Monday, 3 October, 2011

Observer's location:
Port Saint Lucie, 27.2940°N, 80.3510°W

Local time zone:
Eastern Daylight Time (UTC - 4:00)

Orbit:
162 x 170 km, 56.9° (Epoch Sep 23)


27.2940°N, 80.3510°W



23 Sep
-0.8
19:49:05
10
SSW
19:50:24
34
SE 
19:51:18
16
ENE


23 Sep  Mag -0.8 SE to NE trek
  19:49:05 Alt 10 - 
19:50:24 Alt 34 - 
19:51:18 Alt 16


-0.8
19:49:05
10
SSW
19:50:24
34
SE 
19:51:18
16
ENE









-----Original Message-----


Based on this information I am making the conclusion that the re-entry
ould possibly be seen from south florida.
Re-entry window in eastern time is: Friday, September 23, 2011 at
1:00:00 PM +- 5 hours
UARS is set to pass south florida at 1:50 AM EST Saturday, Sept 24.
http://heavens-above.com/PassSummary.aspx?satid=21701&lat=25.56227&lng=-80.2002&loc=Unspecified&alt=0&tz=CET
Therefore folks in FL have a 'good' chance of witnessing the re-entry.
Can someone please validate this conclusion. I think I'm doing this
ight, but want to make sure before I tell my friends in Florida to
ook out for it.
Thanks,
Mike
---------- Forwarded message ----------
rom: drobnock <drobnock at penn.com>
ate: Fri, Sep 23, 2011 at 3:06 PM
ubject: (meteorobs)  Best estimate for UARS initial reentry
o: "meteorobs at meteorobs.org" <meteorobs at meteorobs.org>

stimate for UARS beginning reentry Sahara Area at  03:16 UTC ± 5 hours
ee: Center for Orbital and Reentry Debris Studies>
ttp://reentrynews.aero.org/upcoming.html
ttp://reentrynews.aero.org/1991063b.html
Of course this is = or- five hours
eorge John Drobnock
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