(meteorobs) Perseid predictions?

[Robert Lunsford]

Joe and All,

Since Mikhail's prediction clearly states this prediction of  a ZHR of 100 is the normal background component, I believe he mistakenly continued with the August 13 maximum of 2011 for 2012 instead of changing it to August 12, as all others have done. This would be very unfortunate if someone uses this error and misses the Sunday morning maximum, expecting it to occur on Monday.

Robert Lunsford


---- Skywayinc at aol.com wrote: 
> In a message dated 7/30/2012 10:56:01 A.M. Eastern Daylight Time,  
> kramer at sria.com writes:
>  
> 
> I can't seem to find much in the way of predictions for the Perseid  peak.
> 
> Could anyone please post or point me at  some?
> 
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> 
>  
>  
> According to meteorobs own Mikhail Maslov, this  year's Perseid peak will 
> come 
> on August 13 at 13:19 UT .  He expects a ZHR of 100.  
> See: _http://feraj.narod.ru/Radiants/Predictions/Perseids2012eng.html_ 
> (http://feraj.narod.ru/Radiants/Predictions/Perseids2012eng.html) 
>  
> Another contributor to meteorobs, Jérémie  Vaubaillon, depicts Earth's 2012 
> passage 
> through the Perseid swarm here: _http://tinyurl.com/bsh59cv_ 
> (http://tinyurl.com/bsh59cv) 
>  
> This clearly shows that we will pass through most of the  dusty debris from
> 109P/Swift-Tuttle between August 12.0 and 12.5 UT. 
>  
> Finally, in the RASC Observer's Handbook for 2012,  Margaret Campbell-Brown 
> and Peter Brown indicate this year's peak will be on  August 12 at 12h UT.
>  
> So it would seem that Sunday morning, August 12 will be  the best time for
> peak activity from the Perseids, although if Mikhail is  correct, Monday
> morning, the 13th could also be fruitful as well. 
>  
> -- joe rao
>  
>  
> 
> 
> 
> 
>