(meteorobs) Draconids 2012

[Roberto G.]

From: "Mikhail Maslov" <skjeller at yandex.ru>
To: <meteorobs at meteorobs.org>
Sent: Wednesday, October 03, 2012 6:51 PM
Subject: (meteorobs) Draconids 2012


> While May 21, 2014 is still quite far in the future, there is much
> more close possible unusial meteor activity. It is Draconid meteor
> shower. It gave a strong outburst with ZHR~350 in 2011. This year the
> prospects of activity are much more modest. The Earth encounters 1959
> and 1966 Draconid trails. Conditions are unfavorable, so in my
> estimation, at best it could be a very weak acitivity with ZHR~5-10
> during the period 15-17 UT on 8 October, with low meteor brightness.
> Detailed information can be found here:
> http://feraj.narod.ru/Radiants/Predictions/21p-ids2012eng.html
> 
> Considering that in case of Draconids and similar showers which are
> normally show no activity, even such low meteor numbers as ZHR~5-10
> are a significant event, so any observation around the given time are
> very desirable.
> 
> Best regards, Mikhail

A bad news.
Best greetings.
Roberto Gorelli