(meteorobs) Daytime Craterids showing surprise activity *right now*

[Geert Barentsen]

Hi Joe,

The reply from Chris is a good summary of a talk by Jeremie Vaubaillon on
the topic. There hasn't been a lot of new data since the initial
prediction, in part because it's tricky to go 200 years back in time to
observe. (Present day observations are useful too, but the comet hasn't
been easy to observe lately.)

All the more reasons to plan meteor observing campaigns for the period
around 2014 May 24, so we can figure this one out with data.

Useful link:

http://www.imcce.fr/langues/en/ephemerides/phenomenes/meteor/DATABASE/209_LINEAR/2014/index.php?char=shower&body=Earth&year=2014&shower=209_LINEAR

Geert


On 29 August 2013 07:10, Chris Peterson <clp at alumni.caltech.edu> wrote:

> Yes, there has been quite a lot of discussion about this. No new
> estimates of meteor activity, however. The problem is that the comet was
> not observed during the perihelion passage that generated the particular
> debris stream we will encounter, and without knowing something about the
> actual activity at that time, actual ZHR values are little more than
> educated guesses.
>
> New observations might help characterize the comet's behavior, but it is
> the previous, unobserved activity that is really important.
>
> Jeremie Vaubaillon is looking for a few hundred thousand Euro to mount a
> dual aircraft observing campaign over North America in May, if you'd
> like to chip in... :)
>
> Chris
>
> *******************************
> Chris L Peterson
> Cloudbait Observatory
> http://www.cloudbait.com
>
> On 8/29/2013 7:57 AM, Skywayinc at aol.com wrote:
>
> > Has anyone at the Conference spoken about the possible outburst
>  associated
> > with 209P/LINEAR next May?
> >
> > When this was announced last October, we were told that new  observations
> > of the comet
> > would help refine the ZHR forecast for this potential  display.  We were
> > told that the "most likely"ZHR  would be 100 to 400, but a true "storm"
> (ZHR =
> >> 1000) could not be ruled  out.
> >
> > Does anyone have anything new to add?  We are now only ~8 months away.
> >
> > -- joe rao
>
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