(meteorobs) Draconids outburst predicted to happen soon

[Esko Lyytinen]

Sorry, I do not think that I have my own Draconids modeling for this year.

The activity peak in the radio data:
http://www5f.biglobe.ne.jp/~hro/Flash/2014/DRA/index.html
was most definitely from the October Camelopardalids shower, as is also 
marked there with "?".
http://www.astro.amu.edu.pl/~jopek/MDC2007/Roje/pojedynczy_obiekt.php?kodstrumienia=00281&colecimy=1&kodmin=00001&kodmax=00446&sortowanie=0

I also had definite activity of long overdense reflections in my radio 
data, what  (long overdense) I also have previously found typical for 
this shower.
I had the maximum at about 06 UT with the signal on time about two times 
the normal about this hour of the day.

Esko

> Hello,
>
> Good luck to the European observers!  It would be interesting to know if this activity materializes, despite the moonlight.
>
> I am hoping to be out as soon as it is dark here, perhaps to glimpse a tail end of the outburst (if it occurs) but the weather is looking poor with little hope of seeing anything.
>
> I am curious also if Esko Lyytinen, Peter Jenniskens, Jeremie Vaubaillon and Mikiya Sato have made any predictions on this possible event?
>
> Cheers,
>
> Pierre
>
>
>
>
>
> On Oct 2, 2014, at 6:57 AM, Mikhail Maslov <skjeller at yandex.ru> wrote:
>
>> Hello all,
>>
>> This is a reminder about possible Draconid activity on 6 October from
>> 20 to 22 UT, as the Earth encounters with 1900 trail. Expected ZHR is
>> not very great - 10-20, but who knows :) The radiant position is
>> RA=261.5°, Dec=+47.6°, please note it is considerably to the south
>> from "traditional" radiant position given by the IMO (RA=262°,
>> Dec=+54°).
>>
>> The entire prediction is here:
>> http://feraj.narod.ru/Radiants/Predictions/21p-ids2014eng.html
>>
>> Best regards,
>> Mikhail Maslov
>>
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