(meteorobs) Leonids-2015

[Steven Kolins]

If I read this right for the Eastern US Leo (and more specifically the radiant) will be narrowly below the eastern horizon. However that narrowly seems to suggest a high chance of earth grazing meteors as well as a relatively raised rate, though perhaps towards a third or quarter of the ZHR?


> On Nov 8, 2015, at 6:04 AM, Shanov Sergey <shanov-2004 at yandex.ru> wrote:
> 
> Good day.
> 
> Viewing one of the publications Jeremie Vaubaillon:
>  http://cdsads.u-strasbg.fr/cgi-bin/nph-data_query?bibcode=2005A%26A...439..761V&link_type=ARTICLE&db_key=AST&high=42c2e2305f18848 <http://cdsads.u-strasbg.fr/cgi-bin/nph-data_query?bibcode=2005A%26A...439..761V&link_type=ARTICLE&db_key=AST&high=42c2e2305f18848>  
> It is possible to see the prognosis of activity Leonids on 2015. There are circumstances of collision with cometary by trails 769, 636 years. The first maximum is expected on November 19 around 22:52 UT with ZHR ~20. The second, more interesting maximum, is expected on November 23 around 2:51 UT with ZHR ~100!. It means, that the stream can appear is similar Perseids. The prognosis can appear not precise for such old cometary of trails, as on time, and meteoric activity. It would be interesting to compare these outcomes to the data of other models.
> 
> Sergey
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=    -   -  - - -  -   -    =
Steven Kolins
mailto:smkolins at mac.com
http://smk99.blogspot.com/
Possess a pure, kindly and radiant heart!

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