(meteorobs) New comet P/2016 BA14 PANSTARRS and a possible new meteor shower

Enrico Stomeo stom at iol.it
Wed Mar 23 06:30:32 EDT 2016


The orbital elements of P/2016 BA14 don't change much in the past.
I get that the distance of Earth/Comet would be small for example 
in 1995, 1979, 1974, 1953, 1926.
The following table shows the theoretical circumstances in which 
the Earth passed through the old comet orbits:
(year, dist, max 2016, radiant, Vg)
1995 | +0.0625 UA | 2016 Mar 21.13 UT    | 80.6,-38.7 | 13.97
1979 | -0.0193 UA | 2016 Mar 23.87-24.71 | 78.6,-34.2 | 13.53
1974 | -0.0219 UA | 2016 Mar 23.87-24.83 | 77.7,-34.2 | 13.51
1953 | -0.0175 UA | 2016 Mar 23.95-24.71 | 77.9,-34.1 | 13.49
1926 | +0.0276 UA | 2016 Mar 26.71-28.71 | 73.0,-27.0 | 12.72

Bye,
Enrico



>>> Today was printed a MPEC circular MPEC 2016-C192 
http://www.minorplanetcenter.net/mpec/K16/K16CJ2.html with data on a new 
periodic comet: P/2016 BA14 PANSTARRS. This comet has now a near reliable 
orbit of around 2.5 month. Its perielium it's around 1.0 UA. I calculated 
the possible linked meteor shower, here its data: Right ascension 81.5° 
Declination  -38.8° Vg 14.15 km/s Vh 38.51 km/s Maximum (2016) 21.0 March 
D (MOID) 0.016 UA The radiant should to be in Columba, around 6° from Alfa 
Columba and around 16.5° from Canopus. A Southern shower! This comet it's 
a the near same place after 21 years, then it can to be a periodicity with 
a similar period. Do there are data on meteor around 21 march in the past? 
Best greetings. Roberto Gorelli 



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