(meteorobs) New comet P/2016 BA14 PANSTARRS and a possible new meteor shower

Roberto Gorelli md6648 at mclink.it
Wed Mar 23 14:11:52 EDT 2016


On Wed, 23 Mar 2016 10:30:32 +0000
  Enrico Stomeo <stom at iol.it> wrote:
> The orbital elements of P/2016 BA14 don't change much in the past.
> I get that the distance of Earth/Comet would be small for example 
> in 1995, 1979, 1974, 1953, 1926.
> The following table shows the theoretical circumstances in which 
> the Earth passed through the old comet orbits:
> (year, dist, max 2016, radiant, Vg)
> 1995 | +0.0625 UA | 2016 Mar 21.13 UT    | 80.6,-38.7 | 13.97
> 1979 | -0.0193 UA | 2016 Mar 23.87-24.71 | 78.6,-34.2 | 13.53
> 1974 | -0.0219 UA | 2016 Mar 23.87-24.83 | 77.7,-34.2 | 13.51
> 1953 | -0.0175 UA | 2016 Mar 23.95-24.71 | 77.9,-34.1 | 13.49
> 1926 | +0.0276 UA | 2016 Mar 26.71-28.71 | 73.0,-27.0 | 12.72
> 
> Bye,
> Enrico

I not calculated the past possible radiants of meteor shower by
this comet because it's probable that this comet is born from
252P/Linear around the last perielium (13 November 2010)

See http://www.minorplanetcenter.net/mpec/K16/K16F43.html

T 2016 Mar. 15.27214 TT   252P/Linear
T 2016 Mar. 15.51741 TT   P/2016 BA14

Delta in day = 0.24527 (6 hours for a period of more 1900 days)

but if that wrote Enrico it's real we can see a shifting of peak
of the possible (not confirmed) meteor shower from the end March
toward the half March and too toward a more southern radiant.

Then now we have two questions:

1) somebody saw meteors of this comet 1-2 day ago? (Pay attenction
    too in the next day)

2) there are write witness of meteors occured at the end of March
    with a radiant between Columba and Lepus constellations?
   (Especially around the years 1995, 1974, 1953, 1932 and 1911)

Best greetings.
Roberto Gorelli



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