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(meteorobs) FWD: satellite decay predictions




These may be of interest to meteor observers, as reentereing satellites are 
often visible as extremely bright fireballs...

Lew


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Date: Sat, 3 Aug 1996 20:56:49 +0100
From: Alan Pickup <alan@wingardot demon.codot uk>
To: SeeSat Satellite Mailing List <SeeSat-L>
Subject: SatEvo decay list #10
Message-ID: <hdqcSAAB86AyEwUC@wingardot demon.codot uk>

SatEvo decay list #10  (issued 1996 August 3)

Here are my latest SatEvo decay predictions. The "Actual?" 
decay times are estimated from the final available elements.
Many STEP-2 Pegasus fragments are being catalogued in orbits
which will take them to decay within a couple of years...

   #    Designation    Name               ------- Decay -------
                                          Predicted   Actual?

 23957   94- 29 E   STEP-2 Pegasus deb                July 22.2
 22461   92- 93 FA  SL-16 deb                         July 25.25
 18277   71-  3 C   SL-3 deb                          July 27.65
 23960   94- 29 H   STEP-2 Pegasus deb                July 30 ?
 23685   95- 54 F   SL-12 R aux motor               August  2.15
 24072   96- 43 B   Progress R             August  3.1
 23981   94- 29 AB  STEP-2 Pegasus deb     August  5
 24022   94- 29 BT  STEP-2 Pegasus deb     August 20
 24037   94- 29 CJ  STEP-2 Pegasus deb     August 23
 23962   94- 29 K   STEP-2 Pegasus deb     August 24
 23988   94- 29 AJ  STEP-2 Pegasus deb     August 31
 24028   94- 29 BZ  STEP-2 Pegasus deb  September  4
 23959   94- 29 G   STEP-2 Pegasus deb  September  7
 23927   86- 17 LP  GFZ 1 deb           September 15
 23956   94- 29 D   STEP-2 Pegasus deb  September 17
 23958   94- 29 F   STEP-2 Pegasus deb  September 17
 23926   86- 17 LN  GFZ 1 deb           September 30
 21794   91- 79 F   SL-12 R aux motor   September 30
 23965   94- 29 N   STEP-2 Pegasus deb    October 14
  4641   70- 25 Z   Thorad Agena D deb    October 14
 16982   86- 73 B   NOAA 10 deb           October 25

Bjorn Gimle maintains a WWW resource of decay information at
                http://www.algonet.se/~b_gimle/

Alan
-- 
 Alan Pickup | COSPAR site 2707:  55d53m48.7s N   3d11m51.2s W  156m asl
 Edinburgh   | Home:    alan@wingardot demon.codot uk      +44 (0)131 477 9144
 Scotland    | Royal Observatory: A.Pickup@roe.acdot uk +44 (0)131 668 8224

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