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Re: (meteorobs) Re: potentially hazardous objects (PHA's)
Victor,
> Perhaps Kevin and the person who called the statistical equation on impacts
> complete nonsense would like to see this branch of mathematics pulled from
> books stores and campuses in the world because they cannot count the bodies
> each year from impacts and if obviously give comes to false conclusions.
don't be so polemic! :-)
I did not tell that I don't believe in statistics. However, one of basic
terms of statistics is significance. Statistics and probability
theory can only make reliable predictions, if you have a number of
observations that is statistically significant. Probability theory tells
you that it is complete nonsense, if you interfer from *one* event in
*several millions years* a kind of annual casualty rate.
Sirko
PS: One more funny thing regarding this type of nonsense: The casualty
rate is increasing year by year! Once Earth is inhabited by 12 billion
humans, there casualty has grown to to 40/year...
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