Re: (meteorobs) Excerpts from "CCNet DIGEST, 16 April 1999"

To: meteorobs@jovian.com
Subject: Re: (meteorobs) Excerpts from "CCNet DIGEST, 16 April 1999"
From: Skywayinc@aol.com
Date: Sun, 18 Apr 1999 11:24:34 EDT
Reply-To: meteorobs@jovian.com
Sender: owner-meteorobs@jovian.com

In a message dated 4/17/99 9:30:56 PM Eastern Daylight Time, mvanamo@sci.fi 
writes:

<<   So, we don't necessary have to wait 99 years for the next big Leonid 
display, 
 but maybe only 33 years.  I wonder if they calculated 33 and 66 years ahead.
  >>

While I don't think anybody has yet done the specific calculations for 
prospective activity in 2031, the parent comet 55P/Tempel-Tuttle will 
approach to within 1.5 AU of Jupiter in August 2029.  Since the strands of 
large particles generally follow behind the comet by about 300 days or less, 
I would suspect that they too will undergo the same perturbations that will 
throw the comet off-course.  Hence, it seems that we'll not only lose our 
chance at a Leonid storm on the next cycle, but possibly another fireball 
bevy as well.   :(

-- joe rao  
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Re: (meteorobs) Excerpts from "CCNet DIGEST, 16 April 1999"

From: Rob McNaught <rmn@aaocbn.aaodot gov.au>