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Re: (meteorobs) Leonids latest?



At 22:55 04-08-2001 , you wrote:
>In a message dated 8/4/01 4:40:14 PM Eastern Daylight Time, KCStarguy@aol.com
>writes:
>
><< what is the latest on the Leonids and what is predicted for a storm or
>what?
>  where are the predicted best places to be in US (west?). I am trying to
>  decide whether to fly some place for a night. >>
>
>It appears you have two options:
>
>1) Go to some place in eastern Asia or western Australia, where dust trails
>ejected from 55P/Tempel-Tuttle in 1699 and 1866 are expected to augment each
>other and produce hourly rates of perhaps 5000 to 15000 per hour.  This very
>high activity is expect to occur sometime between 17:30 and 18:30 UT on
>November 18 (though in the above mentioned locales, west of the International
>Date Line, the calendar date is November 19).
>
>2) Stay in North America where a 1767 dust trail is expected to interact with
>the Earth sometime between 10:00 and 10:30 UT on November 18.  We will not
>hit this trail as directly as the 1699 and 1866 trails, so Americans may have
>to console themselves to a brief meteor outburst of "only" 2000 to 2500 per
>hour.
>
>These figures are based on the independent calculations of David Asher and
>Rob McNaught and Esko Lyytinen and Tom Van Flandern.
>
>-- joe rao



Hi Joe and others on the list,

In a few days from now Peter Jenniskens from NASA-Ames research will 
present new predictions at Meteoroids 2001 in Kiruna, Sweden which may 
surprise you.

Best wishes,

Casper.



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