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(meteorobs) re: Turkey Leonid conditions
Hi Arlene,
If the modelling of Lyytinen and Van Flandern has any truth in it, then you
might be able to catch a glimpse of the last tail of the descending branch
of the 9, 10 & 11 revolutions trails from western Turkey on (please take
notice!!) the night of November 18-19 (!!). The Leonid radiant will rise
around 21:30 UTC (23:30 Turkish time). During the first two hours following
that the radiant will be very low in the sky for you: yet, for the early
part of this interval Lyytinen and Van Flandern predict ZHR's as high as
700, so even with this very low radiant altitude you should be able to see
(if their prediction is correct) a nice batch of Leonids making very long
trails along the sky. Leonid rates then should decline even as the radiant
steadily rises. Still, during the first few hours after radiant rise you
could enjoy raw numbers of Leonids similar to a nice Perseid maximum
perhaps. Again, if the Lyytinen and Van Flandern modelling is right. Anyway,
the best thing you can do is just go out and see.
- Marco
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Marco Langbroek private: marco.langbroek@wanadoodot nl
Leiden University work: m.langbroek@arch.leidenunivdot nl
Faculty of Archaeology
P.O. Box 9515
http://home.wanadoodot nl/marco.langbroek/
NL-2300 RA Leiden
The Netherlands
"What seest thou else
In the dark backward and abysm of time?"
William Shakespeare: The Tempest act I scene 2
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