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(meteorobs) URSIDS? 1/minute? (Fri-Sat)... will they be dim?



On the following website... i read that the Ursids might reach one per minute 
but be unusually dim:

http://www.space.com/scienceastronomy/astronomy/ursid_shower_001219.html

I was wondering what thoughts you experts have on this prediction?  In 
addition to the numbers estimate... do you all think that there will be a 
signficant number of bright meteors (or if it ispossible for a suprise?) or 
will every meteor be fairly dim?  

Thanks in advance to anyone  wtih advice on this-

Mark
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