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(meteorobs) Meteor Activity Outlook for November 8-14, 2002



Title:

Meteor Activity Outlook for 
 November 8-14, 2002

By Robert Lunsford 
AMS Operations Manager

The moon will reach its first quarter phase on Monday November 11. At this time it sets near midnight and will not interfere with the key morning observing. The estimated total hourly rates for evening observers this week should be near 2 for those in the Northern Hemisphere and 1 for those south of the equator. Moonlight will interfere with evening observing this week. For morning observers the estimated total hourly rates should be near 20 for those located in the Northern Hemisphere and 12 for those located in the Southern Hemisphere. These rates assume that you are watching from rural areas away from all sources of light pollution. The actual activity one may see will also depend on factors such as personal light and motion perception, local weather conditions, alertness and experience in watching meteor activity. 

The positions listed below are exact for Saturday night/Sunday morning November 9/10. The positions do not change greatly day to day so these positions may be used during this entire period. Most star atlases (available at science stores and libraries) will provide maps with grid lines of the celestial coordinates so that you may find out exactly where these positions are located in the sky. A planisphere or computer planetarium program is also useful in showing which constellations are in the sky at any time of night on any date of the year. Activity from each radiant is best seen when it is positioned highest in the sky, either due north or south along the meridian, depending on your location. Meteor activity is not seen from radiants that are located below the horizon. The radiants below are listed in a west to east manner in order of right ascension (celestial longitude). The radiants listed first are located further west therefore are accessible earlier in the night. This list also provides the order of ascending velocity for each radiant with those listed first usually being much slower than those last on the list. Velocity should not be the prime factor for shower association as all showers can produce slow meteors. Slow meteors can be produced from normally swift showers, such as the Leonids, when meteors appear near the radiant or close to the horizon. The true velocity is only revealed in shower members seen far from the radiant and high in the sky.

The Delta Eridanids are listed among the radiants of the Dutch Meteor Society. This shower peaks on November 12 with a ZHR of only 1. At these rates this shower would be extremely difficult to distinguish from the high sporadic rates seen this time of year. The radiant is located at 03:32 (053) –02 which places it in a remote area of northern Eridanus, 11 degrees south of the 4th magnitude stars Xi and Sigma Tauri. The radiant is best placed near midnight local time, when it lies highest in the sky. With an entry velocity of 31 km/sec., these meteors would appear to travel slower than your average meteor.

The Antihelion radiant is now located at 04:12 (063) +21. This area of the sky is located in central Taurus, 5 degrees southeast of the famous naked eye Pleiades open star cluster. Any slow to medium speed meteor from Taurus could be a candidate for this shower. The radiant is best placed near 0100 local standard time when it lies on the meridian and is highest in the sky. We are now starting to see an increase in the antihelion activity as the Earth encounters debris from comet 1P Encke in addition to the normal material. At this time expect to see 5 shower members per hour from areas north of the equator and 3 per hour for locations south of the equator.

Unlike most of the annual showers the antihelion radiant is produced by debris from unknown sources orbiting in a direct motion like the earth. These sources are most likely asteroids, which produce stony and metallic debris whose density is much greater than material produced by comets. This debris collides with the earth on the inbound portion of its orbit, before its closest approach to the sun. Therefore we best see them just after midnight when we are facing the direction from which this activity appears. The antihelion radiant is active all year from an area of the sky nearly opposite that of the sun. The radiant will travel approximately one degree eastward per day and travels through many different constellations over the course of a year. It is easiest to simply list these meteors as "ANT" but a majority of meteor organizations prefer that you list them from the constellation in which the radiant is currently located or the constellation where the shower reaches maximum activity. IMO observers may wish to list these meteors as Taurids or "STA or NTA's" depending on whether the meteors radiant from north or south of the ecliptic.

The Zeta Puppids are another shower listed among the radiants of the Dutch Meteor Society. This shower peaks on November 13 with a ZHR of only 3. The radiant is located at 07:40 (115) -41. This position lies in the star rich field of central Puppis, near the 4th magnitude star W Puppis. These meteors are best seen near 0400 local standard time when the radiant lies highest above the horizon in a dark sky. At 41 km/sec. the Zeta Puppids produce meteors of average velocity.

The Northern Apex radiant is now located at 09:12 (138) +30. This position lies in northerneastern Cancer near the faint star Tau Cancri. This area of the sky is best placed for viewing during the last dark hour before dawn. Since this radiant is diffuse any meteors from eastern Gemini, southern Lynx, northwestern Leo or northern Cancer could be a good candidate for this shower. This source should provide at least 3 meteors per hour for those in the Northern Hemisphere and less than 1 per hour for those in the Southern Hemisphere. Any early Leonids that are reported this week most likely belong to the northern apex. These meteors are very similar to Leonids are now radiate only 10 degrees form the true Leonid radiant.  

Like the antihelion radiant both apex radiants are active all year long and travel approximately one degree eastward per day. Unlike the antihelion debris these particles orbit the sun in a retrograde motion opposite that of the earth and are most likely produced by unknown comets. They strike the earth after their closest approach to the sun. Since they are moving in opposite directions these particles strike the earth at tremendous velocities often creating bright meteors with persistent trains. These particles strike the earth on the morning side of earth and are best seen just before morning twilight while the sky is still perfectly dark. There are meteors with a zero inclination that radiate precisely from the apex point on the ecliptic, exactly 90 degrees west of the sun. These meteors are rare though as the earth orbits the sun it "sweeps clean" much of the material that shares the same orbit. Much more debris is located just north and south of the earth's orbit with slightly higher or lower inclinations. This creates the northern and southern branches of the apex activity. Meteors from both branches are normally included in the sporadic count but should also be noted in some manner as to which branch of the apex complex they appear to radiate.

The Southern Apex source lies exactly 30 degrees south of its northern counterpart at 09:12 (138) 00. This position lies in western Hydra, 3 degrees south of the 4th magnitude star Upsilon Hydrae. Like the northern apex, these meteors are best seen toward dawn when the radiant lies highest above the horizon in a dark sky. Any meteor from western Hydra could a candidate from this source. Rates would be now close to 2 per hour regardless of your location.

The Sporadic rates for the Northern Hemisphere have now reached their plateau of top activity, which occurs during the entire last quarter of the year. One would currently expect to see perhaps 10 random meteors per hour during the last hours before dawn from rural observing sites. This estimate and the morning estimate for the Southern Hemisphere does not include the apex meteors listed above. During the evening hours perhaps 4 random meteors can be seen per hour from the Northern Hemisphere. Rates seen from the Southern Hemisphere are now at their annual low with perhaps 5 random meteors being seen per hour during the early morning hours and 2 per hour during the evening. Moonlight will reduce sporadic rates seen in the evening sky this week.

Clear Skies!
Robert Lunsford