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(meteorobs) IMO Shower Circ. Draconids 1998



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         I M O   S h o w e r   C i r c u l a r

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                    DRACONIDS 1998

Two orbital periods after the 1985 Draconid outburst,
expectations were high for the night 1998 Oct 8-9. An
outburst with activity of ZHR>500 occurred over Asian
longitudes on 1998 October 8, 13h-14h UT. The informa-
tion is based on visual reports as given by Koseki
(Japan, 21 observers),  a detailed report by Osada
(Japan), reports from Xing Ming and Jin Zhu (China),
a visual and video report by Jun-ichi Watanabe (Japan),
radar observations by Simek (Czech Republic), radio
observations by Ewen-Smith (Portugal) and Bus (the
Netherlands).

Details of the reports are as follows; all UT times refer
to 1998 October 8, save for the last period:

Report by Masahiro Koseki (Japan, visual):
------------------------------------------
Period(UT) ZHR  +- [standard deviation]
0900-1000   14   6 (ZHRs were reported
1000-1100   23  11  by Koseki)
1100-1200   61  43
1200-1300  147  55
1300-1400  371 243
1400-1500  174 123
1500-1600  121  72

Detailed report by Kazuhiro Osada (Japan, visual):
--------------------------------------------------
Period(UT) ZHR  +- [1/sqrt(n)]
1050-1130  154  33
1240-1250  901 144
1250-1300  867 144
1300-1310 1082 165
1310-1320 1265 183
1320-1330  968 164
1330-1340  640 136
1340-1350  442 123
1350-1400  575 144
1400-1410  457 132
1410-1420  323 114 radiant below 20deg henceforth
1420-1430  302 114
1430-1440  193 136

Report by Jin Zhu (China, visual):
----------------------------------
Period(UT) ZHR  +- [1/sqrt(n)]
1143-1227  230  45

Report by Jun-ichi Watanabe (Japa, visual-video):
-------------------------------------------------
1200-1330  ZHR>200
1300-1330  28 GIA on TV monitor with lm~6.0 and a
           field of view of 40deg x 20deg

Report by Zhou Xing Ming (China, visual):
-----------------------------------------
Period(UT) ZHR  +- [1/sqrt(n)]
1336-1421  562  53

Report by Milos Simek (Czech Republic, radar):
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1330       maximum of 400 events per hour at unfavourable
           radiant geometry

Report by Bev Ewen-Smith (Portugal, radio):
-------------------------------------------
    -1000  no enhancement
1000-1200  increase of short events (<10sec)
1200-1400  4 events (10-20sec) per minute
1400-1415  decrease of short events, a few very large events (1min)

Report by Eisse Peter Bus (the Netherlands, radio):
---------------------------------------------------
0700-0800   9  events >1sec
0800-0900  14
0900-1000  28
1000-1100  33
1100-1200  64
1200-1300  97  maximum suggested at 1245 UT
1300-1400  90
1400-1500  31

Report by Ilan Manulis (Israel, visual):
----------------------------------------
1541-1741  5-7 per hour, group observation
1741-1836  1-2 per hour, lm=5.5-6.0

European results (visual):
--------------------------
Period(UT) nGIA  ZHR
1715-1815   7    24  Helle Jaaniste (JAAHE), Estonia
1745-1818   2     6  Jurgen Rendtel (RENJU), Germany
1750-1821   4    15  Rainer Arlt (ARLRA), Germany
1818-1855   3     8  Jurgen Rendtel (RENJU)
1821-1853   2     7  Rainer Arlt (ARLRA)
1817-1913   7    12  Marco Langbroek (LANMA), the Netherlands
1833-1903   4    21  Ike Lysell (LYSAK), Sweden
1837-1926   4    10  Enrico Stomeo (STOEN), Italy
1855-1930   0     -  Jurgen Rendtel (RENJU)
1853-1931   0     -  Rainer Arlt (ARLRA)
1845-1945   7    40  Jaak Jaaniste (JAAJA), Estonia
1912-1926   0     -  Stephen McCann, UK
2010-2045   2    13  Erico Stomeo (STOEN)
2242-2247   0     -  Jurgen Rendtel (RENJU)
0250-0330   0     -  M. Linnolt, California, USA  [1998 Oct 9]


If not explicitely mentioned otherwise, ZHRs were calculated by
myself with r=2.0, alpha=262, delta=+54. A high proportion of
faint meteors were reported during the peak; the ZHRs may thus
be underestimated. We can conclude that the Draconid maximum
occurred at lambda_sol=195.078+-0.010 degress (eq. 2000.0).

----
Rainer Arlt, 1998 Oct 9