Re: (meteorobs) Peter Jennisken's revised Leonid forecast

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• Subject: Re: (meteorobs) Peter Jennisken's revised Leonid forecast
• From: Lew Gramer <dedalus@latrade.com>
• Date: Fri, 07 Sep 2001 18:21:17 -0400
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• Delivered-To: meteorobs@atmob.org
• In-Reply-To: Your message of "Thu, 06 Sep 2001 13:58:25 CDT." <3C5121D8A8C5554AA0DCA027FF67AA971E5437@msfcmsg6.msfc.nasadot gov>
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Bill Cooke of MSFC noted:
>Peter Jennisken's revised Leonid forecast is now posted at
>  http://www-space.arc.nasadot gov/~leonid/

Thank you for posting that, Bill! I explored a bit, and found
that the Leonid "rate predicter" does indeed SEEM to have been
updated with Peter J's latest predictions.


Peter, by the way your predictor applet seems to work just fine
on my UNIX machine running Netscape, as well as on an NT PC.

One quick question for you, though, Peter: the rumors were that
your latest models were predicting an EXTRAORDINARY rate through
out North America on 17/18 Nov. When I run the predictor for any
site in the US for that night, however, the graph tops out below
4000 meteors per hour... Was your Meteoroids talk predicting a
far shorter outburst, with "EZHR" (effective ZHR) ~= 33,000 but
only lasting a small fraction of an hour?

Just curious, thanks for anything you can discuss!

Lew Gramer


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• (meteorobs) Peter Jennisken's revised Leonid forecast
• From: "Cooke, Bill" <Bill.Cooke@msfc.nasadot gov>

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