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(meteorobs) Meteor Activity Outlook for June 28-July 4, 2002



Meteor Activity Outlook for 
 June 28-July 4, 2002

By Robert Lunsford 
AMS Visual Program Coordinator

The moon reaches its last quarter phase on Tuesday July 2. At this time the moon will rise near 0100 and be near the meridian at sunrise. The slow evening hours will be totally free of moonlight while the waning moon will cause some interference in the morning sky. Successful observing at this time can be still be accomplished by simply keeping the moon at your back. During these times I will face northward and reacquaint myself with the constellations currently visible in the northern sky. The estimated total hourly rates for evening observers this week should be near 2 for those in the Northern Hemisphere and 3 for those south of the equator. For morning observers the estimated total hourly rates should be near 8 for those located in the Northern Hemisphere and 10 for those in the Southern Hemisphere. These rates assume that you are watching from rural areas, away from all sources of light pollution. The actual rates will also depend on factors such as personal light and motion perception, local weather conditions, alertness and experience in watching meteor activity. Morning rates are reduced by moonlight during this period.

The positions listed below are exact for Saturday night/Sunday morning June 29/30. The positions do not change greatly day to day so these positions may be used during this entire period. Most star atlas's (available at science stores and libraries) will provide maps with grid lines of the celestial coordinates so that you may find out exactly where these positions are located in the sky. A planisphere or computer planetarium program is also useful in showing which constellations are in the sky at any time of night on any date of the year. Activity from each radiant is best seen when it is positioned highest in the sky, either due north or south along the meridian, depending on your location. Meteor activity is not seen from radiants that are located below the horizon. The radiants below are listed in a west to east manner in order of right ascension (celestial longitude). The radiants listed first are located further west therefore are accessible earlier in the night. This list also provides the order of ascending velocity for each radiant with those listed first usually being much slower than those last on the list. Velocity should not be the prime factor for shower association as all showers can produce slow meteors. Slow meteors can be produced from normally swift showers, such as the Leonids, when meteors appear near the radiant or close to the horizon. The true velocity is only revealed in shower members seen far from the radiant and high in the sky. 

The June Bootids are expected to reach maximum activity on the 27th near 13:30 Universal Time. This time frame favors the western Pacific area as well as eastern Asia. Not much activity has been seen since the 1998 outburst. A bright moon, only 3 days past full, will not help observers this year. Perhaps some remnant activity can be seen over the weekend as the moon becomes less of a problem. The radiant is currently located at 15:00 (225) +47. This area of the sky is located in northern Bootes some 8 degrees north of the 3rd magnitude star Beta Bootis. Due to the northerly declination this shower is well seen only from the southern tropics northward. Even from favored locations rates are usually quite low. The radiant is best placed at dusk when it lies highest in the sky. It will slowly set toward the northwest horizon as the night progresses. At 18 km/sec. the June Bootids are very slow when compared to most other showers.

The Theta Ophiuchids reach maximum activity on the 28th with very low rates. The radiant is currently located at 16:28 (247) -11. This area of the sky is located in southern Ophiuchus, only 2 degrees west of the 3rd magnitude star Zeta Ophiuchi. Due to the southern declination this shower is well seen only from the northern tropics southward. Even from favored locations ZHR's rarely surpass 2. This area of the sky is best placed near 2300 (11pm local daylight time) when the radiant lies on the meridian and highest in the sky. At 27 km/sec. the Theta Ophiuchids are slow compared to most other showers.

The Antihelion radiant is now located at 19:32 (293) -21. This area of the sky is located in eastern Sagittarius, some 5 degrees east of the 3rd magnitude star Pi Sagittarii. Any slow to medium speed meteor from western Capricornus or eastern Sagittarius could be a candidate for this shower. The radiant is best placed near 0200 local daylight time when it lies on the meridian and is highest in the sky. At this time expect to see 1 shower member per hour from locations north of the equator and 2 an hour from areas south of the equator.

Unlike most of the annual showers the antihelion radiant is produced by debris from unknown sources orbiting in a direct motion like the earth. These sources are most likely asteroids, which produce stony and metallic debris whose density is much greater than material produced by comets. This debris collides with the earth on the inbound portion of its orbit, before its closest approach to the sun. Therefore we best see them just after midnight when we are facing the direction from which this activity appears. The antihelion radiant is active all year from an area of the sky nearly opposite that of the sun. The radiant will travel approximately one degree eastward per day and travels through many different constellations over the course of a year. It is easiest to simply list these meteors as "ANT" but a majority of meteor organizations prefer that you list them from the constellation in which the radiant is currently located or the constellation where the shower reaches maximum activity. Those who share reports with the I.M.O. should label these meteors as Sagittarids (SAG).

The Tau Aquarids are listed among the radiants of the Dutch Meteor Society. They reach maximum activity on the 29th with an estimated ZHR of 3. The radiant is currently located at 22:44 (341) -12, which places it in central Aquarius, only 2 degrees north of Tau2 Aquarii. Once again southern observers are favored for this shower as the radiant rises higher into their sky before the onset of morning twilight. These meteors are best seen just before the start of morning twilight. At 63km/sec. the majority of Tau Aquarids appear quite swift.

The Northern Apex radiant is now located at 00:32 (008) +19. This position lies in northern Pisces some 5 degrees northeast of the 3rd magnitude star Algenib (Gamma Pegasi). This area of the sky is best placed for viewing during the last dark hour before dawn. Since this radiant is diffuse any meteors from northern Pisces, eastern Pegasus or southwestern Andromeda could be a good candidate for this shower. This source should provide at least 2 meteors per hour for those in the Northern Hemisphere and 1 per hour for those in the Southern Hemisphere. 

Like the antihelion radiant both apex radiants are active all year long and travel approximately one degree eastward per day. Unlike the antihelion debris these particles orbit the sun in a retrograde motion opposite that of the earth and are most likely produced by unknown comets. They strike the earth after their closest approach to the sun. Since they are moving in opposite directions these particles strike the earth at tremendous velocities often creating bright meteors with persistent trains. These particles strike the earth on the morning side of earth and are best seen just before morning twilight while the sky is still perfectly dark. There are meteors with a zero inclination that radiate precisely from the apex point on the ecliptic, exactly 90 degrees west of the sun. These meteors are rare though as the earth orbits the sun it "sweeps clean" much of the material that shares the same orbit. Much more debris is located just north and south of the earth's orbit with slightly higher or lower inclinations. This creates the northern and southern branches of the apex activity. Meteors from both branches are normally included in the sporadic count but should also be noted in some manner as to which branch of the apex complex they appear to radiate.

The Southern Apex source lies exactly 30 degrees south of its northern counterpart at  00:32 (008) -11 . This position lies in western Cetus some 5 degrees southeast of the 4th magnitude star Iota Ceti. Like the northern apex these meteors are best seen toward dawn when the radiant lies highest above the horizon in a dark sky. Any meteor from western Cetus or eastern Aquarius could be a candidate from this source. Due to the southern declination (celestial latitude) rates would be now close to 2 per hour from the Southern Hemisphere and 1 per hour from the Northern Hemisphere.

The Tau Cetids are also listed among the radiants of the Dutch Meteor Society. They reach maximum activity on the 27th with an estimated ZHR of 4. The radiant is currently located at 01:48 (027) -11, which places it in central Cetus, very close to the 4th magnitude star Baten Kaitos (Zeta Ceti). Once again southern observers are favored for this shower as the radiant rises higher into their sky before the onset of morning twilight. These meteors are best seen just before the start of morning twilight. At 66km/sec. the majority of Tau Cetids appear quite swift. Be careful when trying to distinguish between the Tau Cetids, Southern Apex and the Tau Aquarids. These 3 radiants are relatively close in the sky and produce similar appearing, swift meteors.

The Sporadic rates for the Northern Hemisphere have bottomed out and will finally begin to increase in July. One would expect to see perhaps 4 random meteors per hour during the last hours before dawn from rural observing sites. This estimate and the morning estimate for the Southern Hemisphere does not include the apex meteors listed above. During the evening hours perhaps 2 random meteors can be seen per hour from the Northern Hemisphere. Rates seen from the Southern Hemisphere are still slightly better than those seen in the north with perhaps 5 random meteors being seen during the late morning hours and 3 per hour during the evening.  Moonlight interferes with morning rates.

Clear Skies!
Robert Lunsford