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(meteorobs) 2003 Leonid prediction paper
Leonid predictions published in WGN, Journal of the IMO
=======================================================
An article by J. Vaubaillon, E. Lyytinen, M. Nissinen, and D.J. Asher
is now in press for the October issue of WGN, vol. 31. The paper is
already available at
http://www.imodot net/ or on the mirror site
http://www.amsmeteors.org/imo-mirror/
The authors' compilation of 2003 Leonid models is given below. Larger
values of Da_0 correspond to fainter meteors.
----------------------------------------------------------------------
Trail Model Da_0 f_M Time UT ZHR
----------------------------------------------------------------------
1499 Asher&McNaught 0.28 ~0.03 Nov 13, 13h15 -
1499 Asher&McNaught 0.26 ~0.8 Nov 13, 18h20 -
1499 Lyytinen 0.28 ~1.6 Nov 13, 16h40 half a day 100
1499 Vaubaillon Nov 13, 17h17 120
----------------------------------------------------------------------
1533 Asher&McNaught 0.30 ~0.04 Nov 19, 06h30 -
1533 Lyytinen 0.30 ~0.1 Nov 19, 08h dozen(s)
1533 Vaubaillon Nov 19, 07h28 100
----------------------------------------------------------------------
1333 Asher&McNaught 0.12 ~0.02 Nov 20, 00h50 -
1333 Lyytinen ~0.02 Nov 20, 01h30 20
1333 Vaubaillon Nov 20, 01h26 15
----------------------------------------------------------------------
736 Lyytinen -0.008 Nov 22, 21h 10
736 Vaubaillon Nov 22, 22h02 2
----------------------------------------------------------------------
636 Vaubaillon Nov 23, 02h56 10
----------------------------------------------------------------------
1733 Lyytinen 0.11 Nov 19, 00h25 a few dozen?
----------------------------------------------------------------------
Good luck for the observations,
Rainer Arlt
--
Rainer Arlt -- Astrophysikalisches Institut Potsdam -- www.aipdot de
Visual Commission - International Meteor Organization -- www.imodot net
rarlt@aipdot de -- phone: +49-331-7499-354 -- fax: +49-331-7499-526
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