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(meteorobs) Re: Are the geminids really disappearing?
Kiko and All,
There has been no indication of a drop in ZHR's for the Geminids so far.
Of course this could start occurring at any time, hopefully not too
soon!
Clear Skies!
Bob Lunsford
Kiko Soares wrote:
>
> I have an old Astronomy issue (dec/90) that carries an article advising:
> "Observe the geminids before they disappear" (by Phillp Bagnall). Some
> excerpts say:
>
> "The geminid swarm has difted past Earth over the last 150 years. Today
> our orbit still intersects the densest part of the meteor swarm, but by
> the early 21st we will miss this core entirely. The way the shower has
> picked has also changed over the years, with today's shower rising
> slowly to maximum and dropping off sharply"... "This situation is
> exactly the opposite of that witnessed during the 1930's"... "If the
> computer model is correct, we will miss the core completely by the turn
> of the century and rates will plummet."
>
> Have there been any changes to this model since 1990?
>
> Are the geminids ZHR really dropping off in the last few years?
>
> Kiko Soares
> P. Prudente - Brasil
> 22.07 S - 51.22 W
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